Peter Schiff appears on the Laura Ingraham show this morning.

One of the more interesting points he makes is evaluating the value of the Dow in light of ounces of gold. When Bush took office, the Dow was roughly 42 ounces of gold. Now it’s about 9. He expects that by the time Obama leaves office, it’s likely to be around one ounce of gold in value.

He compares the attempts to “fix” the economy to attempting to recreate the debt-based house of cards.

His advice is the same that it’s been for a while, which is refreshing considering that he’s taken some heat for it recently: gold, silver, foreign currency (he calls the dollar’s recent surge a false rally), and foreign stocks and bonds.

Stunningly easy money continues to be shoveled into the markets. The negative effects are apparent to those who are paying attention, as highlighted in this Bloomberg article:

“The dollar will go to new lows as the U.S. attacks its currency (out emphasis),” said John Taylor, chairman of New York-based FX Concepts Inc., which manages about $14.5 billion of currencies.

As we discussed earlier, the dollar appears to be in decline again. Whether it will turn into a full-fledged “run” on the dollar at this time remains to be seen. But the surge of the last few months brought on by year-end settlements appears to have run its course and is evaporating as we watch. The Fed’s actions and Bush / Obama pronouncements are pouring fuel on the fire.

The immediate outcomes? Commodity prices, which are declining significantly in “real” or even “Euro” or “Yen” terms, are likely to be flat to increasing for Dollar-based consumers. The tailwinds that bring an economy out of recession will be weak or non-existant. Stagflation is likely.

Disruptive events notwithstanding, this is going to be a terrible time to be in the dollar. Occasional 4% surges in the Dow are meaningless when countered by coincident 4% increases in EURUSD (better than $1.40 as of now)!

Investing in currencies looks like a good course of action, but understanding the details of how to do that wisely is important. (Any experienced suggestions are appreciated!)

While commentators seem to try to hedge their bets by obfuscating, the Euro continues its surge relative to the dollar. It strikes me that this is a fundamental rebound. Then again, I’m a neophyte.

Here’s a DailyFX chart that illustrates the dramatic “V” rebound.

Have we seen the end of dollar-buying to liquidate positions in the US prior to the end of the year and prior to the Obama administration’s debut?

Also note that a significant portion of the surge in oil prices is actually tied to the exchange rate. This should begin to re-introduce inflationary pressures on the economy and counter the deflation — both real and predicted — of the past several months.

This may not be a final blow to the dollar, but it should serve as a wake-up-call that we should not expect deflation to win out in the long term, especially for imported or energy-sensitive commodities.

The question is: when will inflationary pressures of dollar printing and borrowing begin to outweigh the downward pressures introduced in real estate and retail from bankruptcies and liquidations? And what impact will negative real interest rates in the U.S. have on the dollar and the economy? Is there a window of opportunity in the next weeks or months for individuals to improve their positions before the storm actually hits in full force?

It looks like the Senate did the right thing. Now it depends on the President to do the right thing (for a change) and let the bankruptcy reorganize the companies in the courts instead of hooking up the taxpayer IVs and letting the politicians get their fingers in:

The Senate rejected the bailout 52-35 on a procedural vote — well short of the 60 required — after the talks fell apart.

“I dread looking at Wall Street,” said Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid in anticipation of Friday’s stock market reaction. “It’s not going to be a pleasant sight.”

Gee, Harry, not a pleasant sight? I suspect it won’t look any worse than many of the days over the past few months. Besides, since when have you been concerned about Wall Street? I thought you were all about “the working people”?

Stock futures are down, foreign markets are down about 3%, the dollar’s regaining a little versus the Euro, and oil is retreating further. Hard to tell if it’s based on the news. Perhaps if the President announces a plan we’ll see the reaction in a lower dollar, higher oil and gold. It’s not going to be a pleasant sight…

The dramatic recovery of the dollar versus the Euro — and indeed generally against the foreign currency basket — might finally be fading.

Not only has the Euro surged higher in the past few days, but DailyFX analysts claim to have called the floor at $1.26 USDEUR with a projection of $1.60.

The exchange rate bounced several times at the1.25 level over the past seven weeks. Now it appears to be making a sustained, dramatic rally. How to defend against it?

This already means dramatically higher oil and gold prices. It’s likely to further impact everything from trade to ability to raise debt and defend against foreign acquisitions.